Labor-market drivers of intergenerational earnings persistence

Published: 20 October 2026

Author: Erika Forsberg, And Martin Nybom, And Jan Stuhler, And

How does worker-firm sorting contribute to intergenerational persistence? Firm pay premia account for 36% of the intergenerational earnings elasticity in Sweden, rising to 50% with dynamic returns to firm-specific experience. Large pay gaps already open atlabor market entry, as children from privileged backgrounds find more favorable entry points; they then climb the firm pay ladder faster, switching firms more often and gaining more per switch. Skill sorting explains this widening but not the initial gaps, consistent with networks and employer learning. Privileged children’s firms are also more desirable overall, a gap that keeps widening after pay gaps stabilize.

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IFAU-Working paper 2026:21, Labor-market drivers of intergenerational earnings persistence is written by Erika Forsberg and Martin Nybom at IFAU and Jan Stuhler at Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. For more information, please contact Erika at erika.forsberg@ifau.uu.se or +46 (0)18 471 70 93.