The effect of employment protection on firms’ worker selection

Published: 27 November 2025

Author: Jan Sauermann, And Sebastian Butschek, And

To estimate the causal effect of employment protection on firms’ worker selection, we study apolicychangethatreduced dismissalcosts fortheemployersof overatenth of Sweden’s workforce. Our difference-in-differences analysis of firms’ hiring uses individual ability mea-sures including estimated worker fixed effects, GPA at age 15, and military test scores. We find that the reform reduced minimum hire quality by around 2%. Our results show that firms both decrease their hiring thresholds and hire more workers. We find that firms increas-ingly hire young, foreign born and long-term non-employed individuals, suggesting potential welfare gains of the reform.

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IFAU-Working paper 2025:22 "The effect of employment protection on firms’ worker selection" is written by Sebastian Butschek at University of Innsbruck and Jan Sauermann at IFAU. For more information please contact Sebastian Butschek at sebastian.butschek@uibk.ac or Jan Sauermann at jan.sauermann@ifau.uu.se.